Some Thoughts on Nick Swisher
Via Andrew Marchand of ESPN New York:
In the winter of 2008, the Yankees’ stats guru, Michael Fishman, entered GM Brian Cashman’s office.
“Fish walks into my office and says, ‘I think we have a great buy-low candidate,’” Cashman recalled. “’He just had an unlucky year.’ I look at this guy and I say, ‘Unlucky year?’”………………………..“Listen,” Cashman recalled Fishman saying. “There are eight defenders on the field, sometimes you just hit them where they are. I’m telling you, as long as he is healthy, he is going to bounce back.”
Cashman, with a huge assist from Fishman, has been proved correct. Getting Swisher for Wilson Betemit, Jeff Marquez and Jhonny Nunez has been a steal.
Was Swish a steal? Absolutely! He has provided solid offensive production and respectable defense for the Yankees while being a great clubhouse leader and fan favorite. Michael Fishman who used stats and spreadsheets to see where his hits went, noticed that when he was hitting the ball it was just right at the position players. Swisher did turn it around in his first year with the Yankees. He raised his average from .219 to .249 and had 14 more doubles and 13 more RBI’s. Besides his disappearing act in the postseason, Swish has been a good Yankee – undoubtedly a steal.
The next quote from the article had me fall out of my chair
Swisher will likely see himself in Werth’s class. Werth is in the midst of his unfathomable seven-year, $126 million contract with the Nationals. There is basically no chance the Yankees will come near that.
I can’t believe he is comparing Swisher to Werth in the first place – but then suggesting that Swisher will get that kind of contract is absurd. Let’s compare Werth’s stats that year (2010) with Swisher’s stats this past season and you might agree that there is no way Swisher can get that kind of contract.
Besides how Werth dominates in all those statistics, another thing that Swisher has going against him is that he will be just one of many free-agent outfielders. That list includes the likes of Andre Ether, Josh Hamilton, Delmon Young, Michael Bourn, B.J. Upton, and Shane Victorino. Because there will be so many other options out there, Swish will have much less leverage and I doubt he could come close to Werth’s contract. So, what are your thoughts? What kind of contract do you think Swisher will get next offseason?