O/U: Pineda and Nova
Player: Michael Pineda
Report: Pineda has been a highly polarizing player for the Yankees this spring. A lot of Yankee fans seem to be down on this kid and are already calling this trade a bust. People really need to take a step off the ledge. We really cannot judge this trade for about 5 years since this trade was not just about this year. He is only 22, is still developing, and its only spring training. Can we at least wait until the year starts before we get serious about evaluating players? For example Roy Halladay’s velocity has been down for Philadelphia and people are not freaking out. I am not comparing the two pitchers at all please do not accuse me of that. My point is some pitchers take time to build up arm strength. Do I like that he came in overweight? No, but unfortunately he is not the first guy(ex: CC and Hughes). I watched him for extensively for the first time last night and I saw things he can build on. I am not really concerned about the velocity. He hit 93 pretty regularly and touched 94 at times, which is what you would expect in the beginning of the game in the regular season let alone spring training. I could also tell he was holding back a little in my eyes anyway. The 1st inning his location was hideous and it got him into big trouble. However, the next two innings he located his fastball, got ahead of hitters, and mixed up his pitches well enough to strike out 5 out of 6 batters. It was really a great sign that he made adjustments so quickly. That is impressive for such a young pitcher. He seems to be really improving his changeup and trusting it more. His slider is a true put away pitch. Anyway Pineda struck out 173 batters in 171 innings last season. So projecting an added total of 20 innings I think 190 is a good number for his O/U for strikeouts.
The Verdict: I think with Pineda’s secondary pitches continuing to improve and giving hitters something else to worry about that he gets to 190 strikeouts.
The Player: Ivan Nova
The Report: I am not as optimistic about Nova as I am Pineda. I still believe Nova will turn out to be a solid long term starter for the Yankees. I still loved the mental toughness he displayed last season and the potential for his stuff to improve. However, I can see a little step back this year. It has nothing to do with how he has looked this spring, but because he outperformed his peripheral numbers last year by a good deal. Nova’s FIP was 4.10 compared to his 3.70 ERA. What is really troubling was his 5.51 K/9 compared to his 3.10 BB/9. That must improve if he is going to sustain his success from last year. What helped him out last year was his .283 BABIP against him and his 52.7 GB %. He will really need the development of his slider to continue this year.
The Verdict: I will say over with his ERA being around the 4.05 to 4.10 area.
So what do you guys think? O/U 190 K’s for Pineda? O/U 3.95 ERA for Nova? Give me your thoughts.