Yankee bats own the 1st Inning

Jeter crushes the ball in the 1st inning

Jumping out to an early lead is a great luxury to have in baseball. It puts your pitcher at ease and immediately puts the opposing team on the defensive.  This year the Yankees have been scoring in the 1st inning more than any team in the A.L. with 76 first inning runs in 97 games.  The first has been their best offensive inning this year as they have not scored more than 65 runs in any other frame.  It often seems like the team will score early then go silent offensively for much of the game.

What could be the reason for their 1st inning success?  The first thing that comes to mind is that the Yankee lineup is very top-heavy.  For much of the past 16 years, they have had a circular lineup that was strong from top to bottom.  However this year’s team has been the lowest scoring Yankees team in years and much of that is due to a poor bottom of the order.  Ibanez,  Jones, Nix, Stewart & Martin have all produced at one time or another but they all have OBP below .300 and batting averages .245 or less.

But a weak bottom of the order shouldn’t account for why the team scores most often in the first.  The top half of the order comes to bat throughout the game, not only the 1st.  However, when you look closer at the stats for the guys at the top of the order, they all excel in the 1st inning.

Derek Jeter may not be the most patient of leadoff hitters but he has been an absolute beast leading off games for the Yankees this year.  In Jeter’s 94 games hitting leadoff, he has hit .419 (39-93) with 7 Doubles, 5 HRs  and a 1.067 OPS opening the game.  During the rest of the time, he’s hit .276 with 3 HRs in 315 ABs so why the big difference?  It seems he is incredibly aggressive in the first inning as he’s only walked twice.  His aggressiveness coupled with a pitcher’s tendency to want to get ahead and throw a lot of fastballs seems to be the recipe for Jeter’s success as he tends to jump on the first fastball he sees.

Having a leadoff man hit like that would be enough to account for the 1st inning outbursts but the usual #2 & #3 hitters – Curtis Granderson & Alex Rodriguez, are also much better 1st inning hitters.  Grandy hits .312 with 8 HRs (1 per 10.8 PA) and a 1.066 OPS in 88 opening frame PAs while hitting just .232 with 19 HRs (1 per 18.2 PA) and a .800 OPS  the rest of the game.  ARod’s 1st inning batting line is .359/.488/.469 with a .956 OPS while he hits just .257 the rest of the game.

So what does it mean that the 1st, 2nd & 3rd hitters in the lineup rake in their first AB and are mediocre at best the rest of the time?  It’s difficult to know what to make of these numbers.  Part of it could be small sample size coincidence.  But I think it could also have a lot to do with pitcher’s tendencies to throw a lot of Fastballs early and mix it up more as the game goes along.  All 3 are veteran hitters and with Alex & DJ having lost some bat speed, they may be cheating on those fastballs early in the game.  The only other possibility could be that they wear down and tire a bit over the course of the game since they have all played a lot this year.

But your guess is as good as mine.  Does anyone else have any theories why these guys crush the ball in their first ABs?  In general, pitchers are usually toughest their 1st and 2nd time facing hitters before getting hit much harder their 3rd time through the order.  This hasn’t really been the case vs the Yankees lineup.  Whatever the reason it’s good that the team is jumping out to early leads but their tendency to not tack on runs as the game goes along is troubling. With ARod out for a while now, it’s probably best to bat Granderson down a bit in the order to benefit from his HR power in more of an RBI slot so the 1st inning trio will be broken up for a while and we’ll see if the runs continue.

About fishjam25

Was a 4-yr Pitcher and Communications Major at Seton Hall University in the 90s. His knowledge & opinion of the game comes from his background as a player and ardent lifetime Yankee fan. However, Fishjam also incorporates sabermetrics and statistical support to form a well-rounded view of the game.

Posted on July 26, 2012, in Player Analysis, Statistical Analysis and tagged , , . Bookmark the permalink. 4 Comments.

  1. Jeter definitely is sitting on the fastball and the first inning when the pitchers are first trying to find the plate and get ahead of hitters he’s jumping on it. I haven’t noticed that with Arod or Grandy. Might be a small sample size aberration.

  2. Jeter is just a great leadoff hitter…..remember the commenters that wanted to move him down in the lineup or bench him. He showed them !

  3. Those are some Crazy stats for Jeter leading off an inning. Nice article Fish!!!

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